Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.097929 0.105824 0.114227 0.123869 0.134660 0.146407 0.160219
2024-10-27 0.083578 0.094211 0.106213 0.120878 0.138462 0.159065 0.185324
2024-11-03 0.078444 0.091287 0.106453 0.125924 0.150621 0.181411 0.223537
2024-11-10 0.075366 0.090021 0.107982 0.132035 0.164073 0.206301 0.268013
2024-11-17 0.070619 0.086038 0.105481 0.132391 0.169663 0.221086 0.300546
2024-11-24 0.065794 0.081443 0.101637 0.130351 0.171444 0.230392 0.326051
2024-12-01 0.061427 0.077061 0.097633 0.127572 0.171656 0.237123 0.348192
2024-12-08 0.057204 0.072556 0.093087 0.123553 0.169508 0.239818 0.363864
2024-12-15 0.054584 0.070037 0.091061 0.122909 0.172219 0.250169 0.393858
2024-12-22 0.051863 0.067203 0.088377 0.121032 0.172752 0.256914 0.418324
2024-12-29 0.050296 0.065878 0.087735 0.122118 0.177991 0.271970 0.460758
2025-01-05 0.047722 0.062979 0.084622 0.119152 0.176299 0.274762 0.479459
2025-01-12 0.044967 0.059816 0.081135 0.115663 0.173951 0.277047 0.499716
2025-01-19 0.042520 0.057008 0.078054 0.112655 0.172241 0.280495 0.523769
2025-01-26 0.042169 0.057249 0.079578 0.117192 0.184120 0.311282 0.617211
2025-02-02 0.042050 0.057815 0.081613 0.122719 0.198409 0.349276 0.740732
2025-02-09 0.040769 0.056538 0.080656 0.123040 0.202973 0.367831 0.820069
2025-02-16 0.039126 0.054619 0.078558 0.121194 0.203131 0.376788 0.875365
2025-02-23 0.037464 0.052595 0.076181 0.118678 0.201699 0.381940 0.921122
2025-03-02 0.035688 0.050321 0.073284 0.115036 0.197652 0.380463 0.945724
2025-03-09 0.034621 0.049125 0.072110 0.114452 0.199830 0.394161 1.025917
2025-03-16 0.033410 0.047650 0.070395 0.112748 0.199488 0.401631 1.087540
2025-03-23 0.032763 0.047053 0.070128 0.113734 0.204984 0.424806 1.218223